Another week of NFL games means another week of trying to predict touchdowns for fantasy football. In Goal-Line Guide Week 7, I try to do just that, determine the best situations where touchdowns are most likely to be scored. This article can help with both season-long formats, as well as Daily Fantasy Sports contests.

The Goal-Line Guide Week 7 Grades range from 117.75 to 23. However, the high score is quite an outlier as it is 17.5 points higher than any other team, and most of all, it belongs to the New York Jets. This is where context matters for these grades. The Jets only have 1 passing TD from inside the 5-yard line, But that was also their only throw inside the goal-line this season so the Jets have 100% efficiency in that regard. Also, the Patriots have allowed a TD on every pass from inside their own 5-yard line. Couple those two stats together and the Jets have the highest Goal-Line Grade of the Week. Including the Jets passing game, here are seven situations that could have higher TD output than league average.

Green Bay Packers Passing Game

Goal-Line Grade: 100.25

The second highest Goal-Line Grade in Week 7 belongs to the Packers passing attack. Inside the 5-yard line, Green Bay has twice as many passing touchdowns than rushing scores. The Packers are tied for the most pass attempts inside the 5-yard line but they have also capitalized on those opportunities. Their 6 goal-line touchdowns through the air are tied for second in the NFL.

Who are the individual players who most benefit on the team? Davante Adams and Aaron Jones have 8 red-zone targets each. Together, that accounts for almost half of the targets inside that area as the rest of the Packers have 17 total. Inside the 5-yard line it is even more extreme as Adams and Jones combine for 7 targets while the rest of the team only has 6 (half of those to Randall Cobb). So Adams and Jones have the best odds to score touchdowns, but someone else could contribute as well. This might be one of those weeks where you play every healthy Green Bay pass-catcher in the hopes that they find the end-zone.

Around FPC

NFL: Chicago Bears Again Lose to Rodgers, Packers

NFL: Nitpicks and Nitwits: Patriots Lose In Heartbreaking Fashion To Cowboys

MLB: The NLCS Showdown: Dodgers Look To Return To World Series

NHL: Montreal Canadiens Carey Price Entering NHL/NHL Player Assistance Program

Wrestling: The Eye Test For Two Ep 77: Football Historian John Turney Returns To The Show

Philadelphia Eagles Flying

Goal-Line Grade: 98

Fly Eagles Fly. That is the team chant, but this week it might actually come true. As mentioned last week, the Raiders are one of the few defenses in the NFL to allow a passing TD on every throw from inside their own 5-yard line. Well, it held true as Las Vegas surrendered yet another goal-line passing score during Week 6. Can the Philadelphia offense keep it going? If the Eagles fail to score a goal-line TD, it may be because of their own lack of personnel. So far, two of the three Philadelphia leaders in red-zone targets could be absent. One tight end was traded away while the other (Dallas Goedert) missed last week on the Covid-IR. He Goedert was activated so he should return for Week 7. That will certainly boost the TD pass odds.

If the Eagles do fly the football through the air near the Goal-Line, look for WR Quez Watkins to be a factor. He is currently second on the team in targets from inside the 10-yard line. Watkins may see opportunities in season-long lineups, but he could be a low-cost low-rostered DFS option.

Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Goal-Line Grade: 94.25

Passing Goal-Line Grade: 94.25

The Rams ended up with equal Goal-Line Grade both running and throwing the football. Not only were they identical marks at 94.25, but they were in the top 10 overall this week. The Rams themselves have been more efficient scoring touchdowns from inside the 5-yard line on the ground with 5 rushing scores. Compare that to only 3 passing touchdowns near the goal-line. However, their opponent has been the opposite defensively. The Lions have allowed a TD on 80% of the passing attempts they faced inside their own 5-yard line. Only a couple of teams are worse at defending through the air near the goal-line (Charges, Patriots, Raiders).

What helps the Rams Goal-Line grades this week is the fact that they have the highest implied total of the week. Oddsmakers are projecting the Rams for 32.75 points. With that much scoring going around, several fantasy players should benefit. Most importantly, Darrell Henderson who is tied for 5th in the NFL with 7 carries from inside the 5-yard line. The rest of the Rams have combined for 2 such attempts so far this year. As long as he's healthy, Henderson should have a healthy helping of goal-line opportunities.

Now for the passing game, Cooper Kupp leads the team in red-zone targets. Shocker right. Regardless of QB, Kupp has always gotten looks near the goal-line. Now, the real surprise may come with who is second on the team in red-zone targets. It's is not Robert Woods (who has 7), but Tyler Higbee with 9 red-zone targets. The end-zone passing offense is mostly condensed on those three players. Kupp, Higbee, and Woods combined for 28 of the Rams' 33 red-zone targets. with such a high implied total, all three players could find paydirt and score.

Latest Fantasy News

Falcons @ Dolphins Air Attack

Miami Dolphins Goal-line Grade: 91.5

Atlanta Falcons Goal-Line Grade: 90

This Falcons @ Dolphins game feature a lot of passing touchdowns. Part of that is because both teams have been rather inefficient running the football near the goal-line. Atlanta only has a 33% TD rate on rushing attempts inside the 5-yard line. Miami is even worse at only 22%, the second-lowest rate in the NFL. So both teams may have no choice but to air it out even when they get close to the end-zone.

In terms of specific players that should benefit, in Miami, it all starts with the rookie. Jaylen Waddle has twice as many targets inside the 5-yard line as any of his teammates. For the Falcons, there are three main red-zone targets, one at each position. TE Kyle Pitts, WR Calvin Ridley, and RB Cordarrelle Patterson account for 23 of Atlanta's 36 red-zone targets.

Thank you for reading Goal-Line Guide Week 7. Be sure to check out all of the great NFL content available on Full Press Coverage.

– Kyle Senra is the managing editor for the Full Press Fantasy Sports. He covers the NFL. Like and follow on and Facebook.