[New post] PGA DFS: Course Preview for The Wyndham Championship 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft
Benitt posted: "We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you'll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub"
New post on DFS Lineup Strategy, DFS Advice, DFS Sheets, and DFS Projections. Your Affordable Edge.
We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you'll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They're strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
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And just like that, this will be the last event of the regular season before heading into post-season next week. A large chunk of the field is attempting to play their way into the FedExCup Playoffs so keep an eye on players that are trying to finish strongly. We will have a strong field with 156 golfers starting this week. Golfers like Hideki Matsuyama, Patrick Reed, Tommy Fleetwood, Rory Sabbatini, and C.T. Pan highlight the field as it comes to an end.
Sedgefield Country Club has 52 sand bunkers, six holes with water in play, and a light rough sitting at 2.5". There is only one thing you should note this week - the 18th hole is 507 yards, but it plays as a Par 4.
Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70, 7100 yards, played on Bermuda greens. The course is located in Greensboro, North Carolina, and was designed by Donald Ross with a renovation in 2007 by Kris Spence. The course has tree-lined fairways with a few doglegs that often force you to take less club off the tee. It is very similar to last week's TPC Southwind layout. Distance is not a requirement at either course, and accuracy matters more than the average TOUR stop at both venues.
There are quite a few holes that are very accessible to birdies. First are the two par 5's. They have a birdie rate of over 50%. But then there are holes 8, 9, 13, and 16 that have an average birdie rate of 23%. However, the most challenging holes are in that back nine stretch. We'll be looking at possibly 22-25% in bogies with a slight 3% chance in double bogies.
Webb Simpson ($12,100) - Are you actually surprised to find Webb up here? Listen, last week, we played Berger at TPC Southwind because he annihilates that course. Now, this week we have to go to Simpson. Webb has placed here 3rd, 2nd, 2nd, and 3rd in his last four years alone. And although he had some trouble last week in his first three rounds, he did find his game on Sunday by gaining an impressive seven total strokes.
Sungjae Im ($11,200) - There's something to like about Sungjae at this price range and facing a Donald Ross courses. These are his results in the last two years at Donald Ross courses: 8th at Rocket Mortgage, 9th at Wyndham, 53rd at Rocket Mortgage (2020), 6th at Wyndham (2019), and 21st at Rocket Mortgage (2019). Sungjae is also facing his favorite green surface - gaining 0.5 strokes on Bermuda greens. And in his last five events, he's gained 2.8 strokes T2G, 2.3 at APP, 0.2 OTT, and 0.2 ARG.
PGA DFS DraftKings Targets
Russell Henley ($9,400) - Besides missing the cut at The Open, Henley played some excellent golf. Now I know we haven't seen him since July, but let's not forget he placed 11th at John Deere, 19th at Travelers, and 13th at U.S. Open. He is also ranked on the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model - 4th at Approach, 21stt T2G, and 37th in Driving Accuracy.
Seamus Power ($8,500) - I know this might be hard to believe, but did you know that Seamus is ranked 3rd in Total Strokes Gained in 2021. 1st is Oosty (47 rounds), 2nd is Mito Pereira (20 rounds), and 3rd is Power (42 rounds). Power is ranked 3rd ARG, 19 T2G, 27th at APP, and 53rd in Birdies or Better on the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model.
PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets
Kevin Streelman (1.25X) - Is this the Streelman we all fell in love with before screwing us over at Travelers & John Deere Classic? The last event he played was at The Open, and he placed 19th while gaining six total strokes. If we ignore the two miss-cuts, he did place 15th at U.S. Open, 13th at Memorial, 20th at Charles Schwab, 8th at PGA Championship, and 26th at Wells Fargo.
Mito Pereira (1.65X) - 1.65x Multiplier? Yea, definitely not thinking twice about this play. In Mito's last three events, he's finished 6th at the 3M Open, 5th at Barbasol, and 34th at John Deere. In his previous five events, he's gained 4.1 T2G, 2.9 OTT, and 1.5 at APP.
PGA Dark Horse Target
Hank Lebioda ($9,200 FD/$7,600DK) - Has Hank been forgotten about? Hank hasn't missed a cut since April. You'll notice that there's a "Miss Cut" for the 3M Open, but he actually made the cut; he just had to leave due to a family emergency. But the man has had a fantastic year. In his last three events alone, he's placed 8th at John Deere, 4th at Rocket Mortgage, and 5th at Travelers. At the same time, he's gaining 3.3 strokes T2G, 1.6 at APP, and 1.5 ARG in his last five events.
PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content
Study Hub
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What's a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you'll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You'll be able to see a player's recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
Course Correlation Model
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you'll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you'll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Important Rankings
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you're currently reading), giving you a course preview on what's in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That's when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
Cash, GPP, Core Picks
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it's with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there's a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
Showdown Content
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don't have enough time and aren't a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
Consistency vs. Trends
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player's performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been "hot" or "cold." And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I'll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
Putting Data
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.
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